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Welcome to the website for Tut-100-20, Data, Decisions, and Uncertainty. This page will contain a schedule and all materials used throughout the semester. The first of these is the syllabus, which is linked below:

Please note that some material will not be posted until we’ve reached that point in the course, and the schedule may occasionally be revised as we progress through the semester.

Schedule (last updated 11/30/23)

Please note:

  1. All readings should be done before coming to class on the posted date
  2. All assignments should be submitted via P-web unless other directions are given.
  3. Dates with a \(*\) will begin at 8:30am (rather than 8:00am)
Date Content Reading Assignments
Thursday 8/24
  1. Introductions
    2. Productive Discussions
    3. Discussion
Tuesday 8/29
  1. Components of an Argument
    2. Descriptive Statistics
    3. NYPD Activity
How to Present Data to Win Arguments, Change Minds, and Save Lives
  1. NYPD Questions
    2. NYPD Paragraph
Thursday 8/31
  1. Providing Feedback
    2. NYPD Revisited
Lessons on How to Lie with Statistics
  1. NYPD Revised Paragraph and Reflection
    2. NYPD Revisited Questions
Tuesday 9/5
  1. Candy Activity
    2. Presentation Tips
    3. Presentation #1 Prep
How to Tell a Compelling Story in Scientific Presentations Prepare for Presentation #1
Thursday 9/7
  1. Presentation #1
    2. Reflection
Presentation #1 Reflection
Tuesday 9/12
  1. Academic Honesty at Grinnell
Academic Honesty Handbook (Part I - Integrity) Quotation Assignment
Thursday 9/14
  1. Critical Reading, Quotes & Citation, and things educated citizens should know (about statistics)
Academic Honesty Handbook (Part II - Citation) Academic Honesty Quiz (on P-web)
Tuesday 9/19
  1. Multivariate thinking
    2. Presentation #2 Prep
Prepare for Presentation #2
Thursday 9/21
  1. Presentation #2
    2. Reflection
Presentation #2 Reflection
Tuesday 9/26
  1. Library Session #1
    2. Addressing Confounding (part 1)
Library Webpage Addressing Confounding (part 1)
Thursday 9/28
  1. Library Session #2
    2. Addressing Confounding (part 2)
Addressing Confounding (part 2)
Tuesday 10/3*
  1. Uncertainty and Bootstrapping
    2. Planning for Spring 2024
  1. Bootstrapping write-up and paragraph
    2. Planning for Spring 2024
Thursday 10/5*
  • No Class (Prof Miller at AAAM Conference)
Flaw of Averages Ch 1-5 Combinations of uncertain numbers paragraph
Tuesday 10/10*
  1. Combinations of Uncertain Numbers
    2. Planning for Spring 2024 (part 2)
  1. Randomness in Statistics
    2. Flaw of Averages Ch 6, 7, 8
Thursday 10/12*
  1. Interrelated Uncertainties
    2. Four-year plan (part 1)
Flaw of Averages Ch 9, 10, 11
  1. Four-year Plan
    2. Flaw of Averages Sign-up
FALL BREAK
  • No Class (Fall Break)
Tuesday 10/24*
  1. Hypothesis Testing
    2. Four-year plan (part 2)
Flaw of Averages Ch 12, 13 Four-year plan (finish up)
Thursday 10/26*
  1. Hypothesis Testing Misconceptions
  1. p-value Ban: Small Step for a Journal, Giant Leap for Science
    2. p-values are Just the Tip of the Iceberg
p-value Debate Outline
Tuesday 10/31* No class (individual advising meetings) Paper #1 Draft
Thursday 11/2*
  1. Peer Review of Drafts
  1. Peer review reflection
    2. Revise Paper #1 Draft
Tuesday 11/7*
  1. Monte Carlo Simulation Activity
Monte Carlo Activity
Thursday 11/9*
  1. David White Special Lecture
David White ’90 Bio
  1. David White ’90 Lecture Reflection
    2. Paper #1 (due Friday at midnight)
Tuesday 11/14*
  1. Paper to Presentation
  1. Create Presentation #3
    2. Presentation Outline Questions
Thursday 11/16*
  1. Presentation #3
    2. Discussion
Presentation #3 Reflection
Tuesday 11/21*
  1. Final Paper Workshop (part 1)
Paper #2 Annotated Bib
THANKSGIVING BREAK
  • No Class (Thanksgiving)
Tuesday 11/28* Paper #2 Outline and Intro
Thursday 11/30*
  • Paper Conferences (No Class, Individual Meetings)
Paper #2 Draft
Tuesday 12/5*
  1. Oral Presentation #4
Tuesday 12/7*
  1. Oral Presentation #4
Finals Week
  1. Final Paper Due
    2. Final Reflection